Is Dice Luck Real? The Truth Behind Tabletop RNG

Is it luck, fate, or just really good dice?

Hero forge dice luck
Is dice luck real? I think so. | © Hero Forge

Tabletop gamers know the feeling all too well: you sit down for a night of adventure, pick up your trusty dice, and... they betray you. Roll after roll, your d20 refuses to give you anything higher than a 5. Meanwhile, your friend across the table seems to be blessed by the dice gods, rolling natural 20s like they have a direct line to fate itself. So, is dice luck real, or is it all just probability playing tricks on us?

The Science (or Superstition) of Dice Luck

Dustom dice hero forge
Can dice really be cursed or blessed? | © Hero Forge

First off, let’s get one thing straight: in a perfect world, dice are random. Each roll is an independent event, and the probability of rolling a 20 on a fair d20 is always 5%. But if you've ever played a long campaign, you might feel like your dice develop "personalities." Some seem to roll better than others, and many players even have "dice jail" for those that misbehave.This is where psychology kicks in. The human brain is wired to find patterns, even when none exist. If you roll a few bad numbers in a row, it sticks in your memory way more than those average, middle-of-the-road rolls. Confirmation bias makes us believe that some dice are "cursed," while others are "blessed."

Can Custom Dice Change Your Luck?

Maybe true dice luck is a mix of probability, psychology, and a sprinkle of manufacturing quirks. But what if the secret to better rolls isn’t about luck at all – what if it’s about confidence? That’s whereHero Forge’s new Custom Dice come in.

Think about it: when you roll a die that truly feels like yours – one designed to match your character, story, or even that ridiculous game-breaking pet your DM regrets allowing – it changes the game. You’re more invested, more engaged, and maybe, just maybe, the dice will feel like they’re on your side.

With Hero Forge’s Dice Maker, you can craft fully custom dice straight from your web browser, incorporating weapons, familiars, and even a miniature version of your character into the design. Want a potion bottle d6 for your healer? Done. A d20 with your rogue’s dagger inside? Easy.

The Best Dice Are the Ones You Love

Keyshot monochrome logo tm
Make your own custom dice with Hero Forge! | © Hero Forge

At the end of the day, dice are more than just rolling tools – they’re part of the experience. Whether you believe in dice luck or just love the ritual of picking the perfect set, why not roll with something that truly feels like yours?

The Hero Forge Custom Dice Kickstarter is launching soon, and it’s your chance to create the most personalized dice set imaginable.

So, is dice luck real?

Maybe, maybe not. But one thing’s for sure – rolling with dice that feel special makes every nat 20 (or nat 1) a moment to remember.

Launching on March 6, 2025, the Hero Forge Custom Dice Kickstarter lets you design dice as personal as your characters, using Hero Forge’s Dice Maker right in your browser.

Early Bird tiers start at $35, so if you want first dibs on rolling, now’s the time to back the project! Just, you know, maybe don’t blame us if they roll low – it’s probably just bad luck... or is it?

Malena Rose

Malena is a game design student and writer at EarlyGame. Her life-long passion for videogames inspired her to make a living out of it. Through her studies in Game Design, she now plays an active role within the gaming industry....